Predictive replacement for heavy machinery

ABSTRACT

Systems and methods for predicting replacement of a component of an industrial machine. One system includes an electronic processor configured to determine a wear rate of the component based on a current dimension of the component and historical dimensions of the component and determine a replacement cost for the component. Determining the replacement cost includes determining a cost of downtime for replacing the component based on a time for replacing the component and a downtime cost for the industrial machine during the time for replacing the component, a material cost in replacing the component, and an operating cost of the industrial machine associated with not replacing the component. The electronic processor is also configured to determine a replacement recommendation for the component based on the wear rate, the replacement cost, and discard criteria and output the replacement recommendation.

RELATED APPLICATIONS

This application claims priority to U.S. Provisional Patent ApplicationNo. 62/512,593, filed May 30, 2017, the entire content of which isincorporated by reference herein.

FIELD

Embodiments described herein relate to detecting wear of heavy machinecomponents, such as heavy machine teeth and, in particular, usingdetected wear to predict when such components should be replaced orrepaired.

BACKGROUND

Heavy machines (for example, mining equipment, such as draglines andshovels) often include components that wear over time. For example,shovels and excavators include buckets with ground engaging tooling(GET), such as steel teeth. The teeth provide a smaller surface areawhen digging into the earth than the bucket. The smaller point ofsurface area helps to break up the earth and requires less force thanthe larger surface area of the bucket. In addition, as the teeth wear,the teeth can be replaced without requiring replacement of the bucket.

SUMMARY

The wear level of a tooth affects the productivity of the machine. Forexample, a worn tooth may require more force to penetrate material.Thus, worn teeth should be identified and replaced as needed to maintainproper productivity levels. Some methods for monitoring tooth wear aresubjective and inconsistent. For example, experienced mining personnelmay visually inspect a tooth for wear and estimate when a tooth shouldbe replaced based on a perceived wear level and historical experience.Such personnel, however, may not be able to visually see the teethduring active operation of the machine due to the position of themachine, other machines or other objects in the mining environment, dustand debris, or the like. Furthermore, even when the teeth are visible,replacement decisions are subjective. Accordingly, teeth may be replacedtoo early, which is costly and causes unnecessary downtime for themachine. Conversely, teeth may be allowed to wear beyond an optimizedwear level, which may cause a drop in productivity, machine damage, ormachine failures. Similarly, even if automated systems are used todetect a wear level of a tooth, personnel still need to make asubjective determination when a tooth should be replaced, whichreintroduces the possibility of error or inconsistencies and may fail totake into account other factors, such as productivity levels, downtimeconsiderations, mining conditions, or other factors that influence arate of wear of a tooth.

Thus, embodiments described herein provide methods and systems fordetecting machine wear, such as tooth wear, and using the detected wearto predict when machine tooling or components should be replaced orrepaired. One system includes a wear detection device and a controller.The wear detection device collects data regarding ground engagingtooling on an industrial machine. In some embodiments, the weardetection device collects the data using light detecting and rangingtechnology. For example, the wear detection device may include at leastone light source and at least one sensor mounted on the industrialmachine. When the industrial machine is a shovel the wear detectiondevice may be mounted on a pulley of the shovel directed at a bucket ofthe shovel including a plurality of removable teeth.

The controller is configured to receive the data from the wear detectiondevice, automatically determine a wear level of the ground engagingtooling based on the data, and automatically predict a replacement timefor the ground engaging tooling based on the wear level. In someembodiments, the controller is configured to automatically predict thereplacement time by predicting a future wear level for the groundengaging tooling based on usage of the industrial machine and ahistorical wear rate. The controller may also take into consideration acost of performing a replacement (downtime, material, labor) as well asthe productivity effect of the replacement on the industrial machine todetermine an optimized replacement time.

The controller is also configured to output the replacement time, whichmay include outputting the replacement time to at least one display inreal-time. The controller may also output the replacement time to adatabase that may collect replacement data from each of a plurality ofindustrial machines. The database may be accessible by at least one userdevice to allow users to view and manage replacement strategies andschedules for one or more industrial machines even when users are remotefrom the location of the industrial machines.

For example, one embodiment provides a system for predicting replacementof a component of an industrial machine. The system includes anelectronic processor configured to determine a wear rate of thecomponent based on a current dimension of the component and historicaldimensions of the component and determine a replacement cost for thecomponent. Determining the replacement cost includes determining a costof downtime for replacing the component based on a time for replacingthe component and a downtime cost for the industrial machine during thetime for replacing the component, a material cost in replacing thecomponent, and an operating cost of the industrial machine associatedwith not replacing the component. The electronic processor is alsoconfigured to determine a replacement recommendation for the componentbased on the wear rate, the replacement cost, and discard criteria andoutput the replacement recommendation.

Another embodiment provides a method for predicting replacement of acomponent included in an industrial machine. The method includesreceiving, with an electronic processor, data collected by a weardetection device representing a current dimension of the component andcomparing, with the electronic processor, the current dimension of thecomponent to discard criteria, the discard criteria including a discarddimension of the component. In response to the current dimension of thecomponent being less than the discard dimension of the component, themethod includes discarding the component. In response to the currentdimension of the component being greater than the discard dimension ofthe component, the method includes determining, with the electronicprocessor, a virtual measurement for the component at a future time,comparing, with the electronic processor, the virtual measurement forthe component to the discard dimension, and, in response to the virtualmeasurement for the component being less than the discard dimension,adding, with the electronic processor, the component to used pool ofcomponents.

Yet another embodiment provides non-transitory, computer-readable mediumstoring instructions that, when executed by an electronic processor,perform a set of functions. The set of functions includes determining areplacement cost for a component of an industrial machine for each of aplurality of arrangements, determining a replacement recommendation forthe component based on the replacement cost associated with each of theplurality of arrangements, and outputting the replacementrecommendation. Determining the replacement cost includes determining acost of downtime for replacing the component based on a time forreplacing the component and a downtime cost for the industrial machineduring the time for replacing the component, a material cost inreplacing the component, and an operating cost of the industrial machineassociated with not replacing the component.

Other aspects of the invention will become apparent by consideration ofthe detailed description and accompanying drawings.

BRIEF DESCRIPTION OF THE DRAWINGS

FIG. 1 is a side view of a shovel.

FIG. 2A is a perspective view of a tooth used with the shovel of FIG. 1.

FIG. 2B is a top view of the tooth of FIG. 2A.

FIG. 2C is a side view of the tooth of FIG. 2A.

FIG. 3 is a side view of the tooth of FIG. 2A illustrating a pluralityof wear levels.

FIG. 4 schematically illustrates an automated system for detecting wearof a tooth included in the shovel of FIG. 1 and predicting replacementtimes for the tooth.

FIG. 5 illustrates a wear detection device included in the system FIG.4.

FIGS. 6, 7, and 8 illustrate the wear detection device of FIG. 5 mountedon the shovel of FIG. 1.

FIG. 9 is a flowchart illustrating a predictive replacement processperformed by the system of FIG. 4 according to some embodiments.

FIG. 10 is a flowchart illustrating a consumable removal algorithmperformed by the system of FIG. 4 according to some embodiments.

DETAILED DESCRIPTION

Before any embodiments of the invention are explained in detail, it isto be understood that the invention is not limited in its application tothe details of construction and the arrangement of components set forthin the following description or illustrated in the accompanyingdrawings. The invention is capable of other embodiments and of beingpracticed or of being carried out in various ways.

Also, it is to be understood that the phraseology and terminology usedherein is for the purpose of description and should not be regarded aslimiting. The use of “including,” “comprising” or “having” andvariations thereof herein is meant to encompass the items listedthereafter and equivalents thereof as well as additional items. Theterms “mounted,” “connected” and “coupled” are used broadly andencompass both direct and indirect mounting, connecting and coupling.Further, “connected” and “coupled” are not restricted to physical ormechanical connections or couplings, and can include electricalconnections or couplings, whether direct or indirect. Also, electroniccommunications and notifications may be performed using any known meansincluding direct connections, wireless connections, etc.

It should also be noted that a plurality of hardware and software baseddevices, as well as a plurality of different structural components maybe utilized to implement the invention. In addition, it should beunderstood that embodiments of the invention may include hardware,software, and electronic components or modules that, for purposes ofdiscussion, may be illustrated and described as if the majority of thecomponents were implemented solely in hardware. However, one of ordinaryskill in the art, and based on a reading of this detailed description,would recognize that, in at least one embodiment, the electronic basedaspects of the invention may be implemented in software (for example,stored on non-transitory computer-readable medium) executable by one ormore electronic processors. As such, it should be noted that a pluralityof hardware and software based devices, as well as a plurality ofdifferent structural components may be utilized to implement theinvention. For example, “control units” and “controllers” described inthe specification can include one or more electronic processors, one ormore memory modules including non-transitory computer-readable medium,one or more input/output interfaces, and various connections (forexample, a system bus) connecting the components.

FIG. 1 illustrates a shovel 100. Although embodiments are describedherein with respect to the shovel 100, the invention is not limited tothe shovel 100. Rather, the methods and systems described herein may beused with other types of shovels and other types of machines and heavymachinery. Similarly, although embodiments are described herein withrespect to detecting wear and predicting replacement or repair of teethincluded in a shovel, the methods and systems described herein may beused to detect wear and predict replacement for other type of machinecomponents that may wear over time, including other ground engagingtooling (GET) included in the shovel.

The shovel 100 includes a mobile base 105 supported on drive tracks 110.The mobile base 105 supports a turntable 115 and a machinery deck 120.The turntable 115 permits rotation of the machinery deck 120 relative tothe base 105 (for example, approximately 360 degree rotation). A boom125 is pivotally connected at a joint 130 to the machinery deck 120. Theboom 125 is held in an upwardly and outwardly extending relation to thedeck 120 by a brace or gantry in the form of tension cables 135 that areanchored to a back stay 140 of a stay structure 145 rigidly mounted onthe machinery deck 120.

The shovel 100 also includes a dipper or bucket 150 that includes aplurality of heavy machine teeth 152 (referred to herein individually as“tooth 152” and collectively as “teeth 152” or a “lip”). The bucket 150is suspended by a flexible hoist rope or cable 155 from a pulley 160.The cable 155 is anchored to a winch drum 165 mounted on the machinerydeck 120. As the winch drum 165 rotates, the cable 155 is either paidout or pulled in, which lowers or raises the bucket 150. The pulley 160directs the tension in the cable 155 to pull straight upward on thebucket 150 to produce efficient dig force. The bucket 150 is rigidlyattached to an arm or handle 170. The handle 170 is slidably supportedin a saddle block 175, which is pivotally mounted on the boom 125 at ajoint 180. The handle 170 has a rack tooth formation (not shown) thatengages a drive pinion or shipper shaft (not shown) mounted in thesaddle block 175. The drive pinion is driven by an electric motor andtransmission unit 185 to extend and retract the handle 170 relative tothe saddle block 175. The bucket 150 also includes a dipper door 190(see FIGS. 6, 7, and 8) that is tripped (opened) to allow materialincluded in the bucket 150 to be dumped.

One or more of the teeth 152 are removably attached to the bucket 150.FIGS. 2A-2C illustrates one embodiment of a tooth 152. The tooth 152 isformed of a rigid material, such as steel. As illustrated in FIG. 2A,the tooth 152 includes a working end 200 and a mounting end 202 oppositethe working end. The working end 200 is designed to interact with aworking material (for example, stone, rock, rubble, and the like). Themounting end 202 is designed to removably couple the tooth 152 to thebucket 150. In some embodiments, the mounting end 202 is attacheddirectly to the bucket 150. In other embodiments, the mounting end 202is attached indirectly to the bucket 150, such as through an adapter(mounting bracket) or another intermediary device that couples the tooth152 to the bucket 150. As illustrated in FIGS. 2C and 4B, the tooth 152includes a top surface 204 a, a left side surface 204 b, a right sidesurface 204 c, and a bottom surface 204 d. As used in the presentapplication, “left” and “right” are referenced from a point of viewmeasured from the mounting end 202 to the working end 200. In someembodiments, the tooth 152 is molded from steel.

As the shovel 100 digs, the teeth 152 are subjected to abrasive wearcaused by interaction with the working material. The level of wearexperienced by a tooth 152 depends on, for example, the working material(for example, a more abrasive material causes greater abrasive wear tothe tooth 152 than a less abrasive material), the duration of use of thetooth 152 (for example, a longer duration of use will generally causegreater wear to the tooth 152 than a shorter duration of use), or acombination thereof. FIG. 3 illustrates a plurality of wear levels ofthe tooth 152. In particular, FIG. 3 illustrates a first wear level 206,a second wear level 208, and a third wear level 210 of the tooth 152.Wear levels closer to the mounting end 202 are considered higher orgreater (for example, more material of the tooth 152 has worn away) thanwear levels closer to the working end 200. For example, the first wearlevel 206 indicates a lower wear level than the second wear level 208and the second wear level 208 indicates a lower wear level than thethird wear level 210.

As noted above, as a tooth 152 wears, mining production may suffer as,in general, a dull or worn tooth may not penetrate or mine workingmaterial as efficiently as a non-worn tooth. However, replacing teeth152 too frequently is costly both in terms of machine components anddowntime for the shovel 100. Similarly, allowing a tooth 152 to get tooworn is costly in terms of production.

Accordingly, FIG. 4 schematically illustrates an automated system 300that detects wear of a tooth 152 and predicts when the tooth 152 shouldbe replaced. As used in the present application, “replacing” a toothincludes (i) removing the tooth and replacing the tooth either with anew tooth or a used tooth (from a pool of used teeth), (ii) swapping atooth with a used tooth, which could be in the pool of used tooth oranother tooth currently installed on the shovel 100, or (iii) repairinga tooth. Removal of a tooth may be required when, based on a currentwear rate for the tooth in its current potion, the tooth will not last(maintain a length greater than the discard length) until a subsequentservice opportunity. For example, service opportunities may occurregularly, such as approximately every day or every other day. If aremoved tooth wouldn't last in its current position but may last inanother position, such as a position with a lower wear rate, the removedtooth may be added to the pool of used teeth (sometimes referred toherein as the “used pool”).

Swapping may occur when a tooth needs to be removed (see previousparagraph) but may also occur when a tooth does not need to be removed.For example, as described in more detail below, rearrangingcurrently-installed teeth may be evaluated during the methods describedbelow to determine if swapping teeth at a given time will be costeffective. Accordingly, a tooth may be swapped even if removal is notrequired by the discard criteria. As noted above, the teeth included inthe swap may include one or more teeth from the used pool, other teethcurrently installed on the shovel 100, or a combination thereof. Forexample, even if there are no teeth in the used pool at a particularpoint in time, swapping currently-installed teeth may technically addteeth to the used pool when a tooth is removed as part of a swap. Forexample, if a lip includes nine teeth, all of these teeth could beconsidered part of the used pool as part of a potential swap, whichallows all positions to be evaluated in all arrangements.

As illustrated in FIG. 4, the system 300 includes a wear detectiondevice 302 configured to detect a wear level of a tooth 152. The weardetection device 302 may use various technologies to detect the wearlevel of a tooth 152. For example, the wear detection device 302 may uselight, radar, infrared technology, radio frequency identification,ultrasonic technology, object recognition in image data, or other formsof non-contact detection to detect the size (one or more dimensions) ofa tooth 152, which is used to determine the wear level of a tooth 152.In some embodiments, the wear detection device 302 includes one or moresensors mounted on the shovel 100 or remote from the shovel 100. Thesensors may be positioned to view the tooth 152 during a dumping motionor another predetermined motion or state of the shovel 100 or the bucket150. For example, the sensors may be configured to collect data when oneor more conditions are satisfied, such as when the dipper door 190 hasbeen tripped (opened) and a tooth 152 is exposed. Accordingly, in thissituation, the sensors may collect data at each dump of materials fromthe bucket 150. To determine whether conditions are satisfied, thesensors may communicate with other systems or controls included in theshovel 100, such as a dipper door sensor. In other embodiments, thesensors may repeatedly collect data untethered to whether any conditionsare satisfied. In this situation, the collected data may be subsequentlyprocessed to identify collected data relating to a tooth 152 as comparedto other components of the shovel 100 or other objects within a miningenvironment, such as the working material.

In one embodiment, the wear detection device 302 includes a lightdetecting and ranging technology (LIDAR) device as illustrated in FIG.5. LIDAR technology measures distances to a target by illuminating thetarget with pulsed laser light and measuring the reflected pulses with asensor. Differences in the return time and wavelengths of reflectedpulses are used to generate digital representations of the target (pointcloud data). Accordingly, in the embodiment illustrated in FIG. 5, thewear detection device 302 includes one or more light sources 304 and oneor more light sensors 306. The light sources 304 include a laserconfigured to generate light pulses, and the reflections of such lightpulses are detected by the light sensors 306. The light sources 304 andthe light sensors 306 may be mounted on a bracket 308, which allows thewear detection device 302 to be mounted to the shovel 100. For example,as illustrated in FIGS. 6, 7, and 8, the bracket 308 may be mounted onthe pulley 160 such that the light sources 304 are directed toward theteeth 152. As illustrated in FIGS. 6, 7, and 8, the dipper door 190 mayblock at least a portion of one or more teeth 152 when the dipper door190 is closed. Accordingly, as noted above, the light sources 304, thelight sensors 306, or both may be configured to activate and collectdata when the dipper door 190 is tripped (opened) to allow for a lessobstructed view of the teeth 152. It should be understood that theconfiguration and position of the wear detection device 302 illustratedin FIGS. 6, 7, and 8 represent one possible configuration and positionand other configurations and positions (both on and remote from theshovel 100) are possible.

As illustrated in FIG. 4, a controller 310 communicates with the weardetection device 302, and, in particular, receives data collected by (orgenerated by) the wear detection device 302. In some embodiments, thecontroller 310 is included in the wear detection device 302 or isincluded in a common housing with the wear detection device 302. Inother embodiments, the controller 310 is remote from the wear detectiondevice 302 (on the shovel 100 or remote from the shovel 100) andcommunicates with the wear detection device 302 over a wired or wirelessconnection. It should be understood that the wear detection device 302and the controller 310 may communicate directly or through one or moreintermediary devices (routers, gateways, relays, and the like). Also, insome embodiments, the controller 310 communicates with multiple weardetection devices 302.

As illustrated in FIG. 4, the controller 310 includes an electronicprocessor 312 (for example, a microprocessor, an application-specificintegrated circuit (ASIC), a field-programmable gate array (FPGA), orother suitable electronic device configured to process data), a storagedevice 314, and a communication interface 316. In some embodiments, thecontroller 310 also includes a human machine interface (HMI) 318. Theelectronic processor 312, the storage device 314, the communicationinterface 316, and the (optional) HMI 318 are communicatively coupledover one or more communication lines or buses, wirelessly, orcombinations thereof. It should be understood that, in otherconstructions, the controller 310 includes additional, fewer, ordifferent components than those illustrated in FIG. 4.

The controller 310 communicates with the wear detection device 302 viathe communication interface 316. In some embodiments, the communicationinterface 316 includes a wireless transceiver for wirelesslycommunicating with the wear detection device 302, such as a radiofrequency (RF) transceiver for communicating over a communicationsnetwork (for example, the Internet, a local area network, Wi-Fi,Bluetooth, or a combination thereof). Alternatively or in addition, thecommunication interface 316 may include a port for receiving a cable,such as an Ethernet cable, for communicating with the wear detectiondevice 302 (over a dedicated wired connection or over a communicationsnetwork). In some embodiments, the wear detection device 302 includes asimilar communication interface.

The storage device 314 includes a non-transitory, computer-readablestorage medium storing program instructions and data. The electronicprocessor 312 is configured to retrieve instructions from the storagedevice 314 and execute the instructions to perform a set of functions,including the methods described herein. The HMI 318 receives input fromand provides output to users, such as mining personnel in charge ofmonitoring the teeth 152 and replacing teeth 152 as necessary. The HMI318 may include a keyboard, a keypad, a microphone, a camera, acursor-control device (for example, a mouse, a joystick, a trackball, atouch pad, and the like), a display (for example, a liquid crystaldisplay (LCD), a light emitting diode (LED) display, a touchscreen), aspeaker, or combinations thereof.

The controller 310 (the electronic processor 312 through the executionof instructions) converts data collected by the wear detection device302 into one or more parameters of a tooth 152, such as a size (at leastone dimension) of the tooth 152 (for, example, length, width, volume,and the like). The controller 310 uses these parameters of the tooth 152to predict an effective time to replace the tooth 152 (a replacementtime). As noted above, replacing a tooth 152 includes shifting aposition of a tooth 152 on the bucket 150, removing a tooth 152 from thebucket 150 and installing a new tooth 152 in its place, or, in someembodiments, repairing a tooth 152. The controller 310 may also considerother factors when predicting a replacement time. For example, thecontroller 310 may consider dig paths, bank shape and size,fragmentation, and previous wear history for a particular tooth 152 whenpredicting a replacement time. The controller 310 may consider all orsome of these parameters in real-time or near real-time, which allowsthe controller 310 to provide replacement times in real-time or nearreal-time. As used in the present application, “real-time” meanssimultaneously (for example, within milliseconds) with actual values ofone or more parameters. Accordingly, as the wear level of a tooth 152 orother parameters considered by the controller 310 change, the controller310 may provide an updated predicted replacement time and associatedreplacement information.

The ability to determine recommended replacement times based on factorsrelating to actual detected wear as well as effective replacementstrategies, wear for similar components, replacement times, productivitybenefits, and replacement costs allows the controller 310 to provide anoptimized replacement strategy. For example, in some embodiments, thecontroller 310 predicts tooth replacement based on a performance factorof the shovel 100 relating to energy usage, which allows the controller310 to determine whether the cost of replacing a tooth 152 is morebeneficial at a particular time to manage (save) shovel energyconsumption.

In some embodiments, in addition to predicting a replacement time for atooth, the controller 310 is also configured to determine a type ofreplacement tooth. For example, the controller 310 may have access toinventory information that the controller 310 may use to determine whattype of teeth (new, refurbished, models, and the like) are available orwill be available when a tooth 152 is replaced. In addition, given therate of wear of current teeth 152, the controller 310 may be configuredto recommend a type of replacement tooth 152 that is best suited for themining conditions. For example, when teeth 152 are wearing quicker thanexpected, the controller 310 may recommend replacing worn teeth 152 withteeth 152 configured to withstand higher digging forces or teeth 152that are engineered to work with particular mining conditions, such ashard working materials. It should also be understood that in addition todetecting worn teeth 152 and providing replacement times, the controller310 may be configured to detect broken or missing teeth 152 and predictreplacement times for replacing these teeth 152.

After predicting a replacement time (and other replacement information),the controller 310 may output this information to a user, such as amachine operator. This information may be output through the HMI 318included in the controller 310. Alternatively or in addition, thecontroller 310 may transmit this information to a remote device, such asa display included in a cab of the shovel 100, for display to a user.Regardless of where the information is displayed, the outputtedinformation may be displayed within one or more graphical userinterfaces (GUI). In some embodiments, outputted information may includea number of days, working hours, or digging cycles remaining untilreplacement or an actual date or time of replacement. Alerts and othernotifications may also be displayed (or separately transmitted viae-mail, text message, and the like) when particular wear levels havebeen detected or when teeth 152 have not be replaced as recommended.Accordingly, the information output by the controller 310 may identifyor alert an operator to one or more conditions, including but notlimited to when a replacement should be scheduled, when productivity orproductivity loss drops below a particular threshold as a result oftooth wearing, critical tooth wear, and the like.

The controller 310 may be configured to output this information atvarious frequencies or in response to various trigger events, which maybe based on user preferences. For example, in some embodiments, thecontroller 310 may output predicted replacement times in real-time ornear real-time. In other embodiments, the controller 310 may outputpredicted replacement times as these times occur (or a predeterminedtime before they occur) to alert machine operators to upcomingreplacements.

In some embodiments, the controller 310 also stores predictedreplacement times (and other replacement information) to one or moredatabases or servers. For example, as illustrated in FIG. 4, thecontroller 310 may communicate with a database 320. The controller 310may communicate with the database 320 via the communication interface316 directly (for example, via a RF transmitter or a wired connection)or over a communications network. Also in some embodiments, thecontroller 310 communicates with the database 320 through one or moreintermediary devices. For example, when the controller 310 communicateswith the database 320 wirelessly, the shovel 100 may move out of rangeof the database 320 and lose its connection to the database 320. Inthese situations, an intermediary device may be used as a relay betweenthe controller 310 and the database 320, which eliminates the need toshut down or move the controller 310.

As illustrated in FIG. 4, the database 320 is accessible (directly orover a communications network) by one or more user devices 330. The userdevices 330 may include laptop computers, desktop computers, tabletcomputers, smart watches, smart phones, and the like and may includesimilar components as the controller 310 described above. Through theuser devices 330, users may remotely access replacement information,such as through GUIs similar to those provided on-site or other types ofreports or dashboards. The replacement information accessible throughthe database 320 may be associated with one or multiple differentshovels (or other types of machines). For example, each shovel (or otherpiece of machinery) may be associated with a controller similar to thecontroller 310 described above, and each of these controllers may reportrespective replacement information to the database 320. Accordingly,through a user device 330, a user may access (real-time) replacementinformation for an entire mine or a fleet of heavy machines operating indifferent mines or locations. The user may use this information tomanage replacements for multiple machines, which provides a furtherlevel of efficient management of replacements. For example, users mayschedule replacements for one machine to coordinate with replacementsscheduled for other machines (to make efficient use of maintenance teamsor prevent multiple shovels from being down for maintenance at the sametime). In some embodiments, the controller 310 may also be configured toaccess replacement information for other machines and use thisinformation when predicting replacement times as described above.

It should be understood that, in some embodiments, the controller 310stores replacement information locally (within the storage device 314),and the user devices 330 access the stored information on the controller310 rather than or in addition to accessing the information stored inthe database 320. Similarly, in some embodiments, at least a portion ofthe functionality described above with respect controller 310 may beperformed by the database 320 or another device. In other words, thefunctionality described above for the controller 310 may be distributedamong multiple devices in various configurations.

FIG. 9 illustrates a method 900 performed by the controller 310 (theelectronic processor 312 through execution of instructions) according toone embodiment to detect machine wear and automatically predictreplacement. It should be understood, however, that portions of themethod 900 may be performed by other components, including, for example,the wear detection device 302, the database 320, one or more servers(including servers provided in a cloud computing environment), or acombination thereof. The method 900 is described herein in terms ofdetecting a wear level in terms of length of a tooth 152. However, hasnoted above, this is just one example application of the method 900 andthe method 900 may be applied to other types of GET where wear levelsmay be detected or defined differently. Also, the method 900 illustratedin FIG. 9 includes functional steps as well as some data input stepsdescribing data that may be used as part of a particular functionalsteps. Accordingly, as compared to a traditional flowchart, the method900 is represented graphically as a hybrid of functional steps and datainputs or constraints, intermediary steps, and the like.

As illustrated in FIG. 9, the method 900 includes obtaining a currentdimension of the GET (at block 902). As illustrated in FIG. 9, thecurrent dimension may be determined according to an inspectionfrequency, which may be set by a user, such as via the HMI 318 includedin the controller 310. The inspection frequency defines an amount oftimes during a given duration that the current wear state is determinedand recorded. Thus, the inspection frequency may be defined in terms ofinspections-per-time-period.

As also illustrated in FIG. 9, such inspections can be performedmanually or in an automated fashion, such as using LIDAR as describedabove with respect to the wear detection device 302. In someembodiments, a user may specify whether the inspections will beperformed manually or automatically as part of specifying the inspectionfrequency. When recorded manually, such an inspection may require thatthe machine be locked-out and turned off. Thus, there is a costassociated with such downtime related to performing a manual wearcomponent inspection. Also, the utilization of the machine may influencethe inspection frequency. For example, a lower utilization allows formore opportunities to perform inspections. The more frequentlyinspections (and associated measurements) are made, the more effectivethe controller 310 is at predicting replacements. For example, when aninspection is manually performed once a day over a one hour period, theother twenty-three hours of the day are not considered, which may causethe controller 310 to overlook an efficient time for maintenance. Inparticular, although historical data provides an understanding of wearrates per position and how the bank, material, arrangement, orcombination thereof affects such wear rates, there can be significantdifferences from one hour to another. Accordingly, increasing theinspection frequency increases wear rate accuracy and thereforeprediction accuracy.

As noted above, a current wear level of GET can be detected in anautomated fashion using LIDAR technology or other types of positionsensing or tracking technologies. An automated method for evaluating andrecording a dimension, such as length, of GET allows the controller 310to perform the prediction in a more efficient and cost-effective mannerthan when a manual method for evaluating and recording a dimension areused. In particular, as noted above, manual recordings require personnelon-site to evaluate the dimensions of the GET, which adds to downtimecosts, overall safety risks, and does not optimize change-out moments.For example, with LIDAR technology the inspection frequency may beinfinite without adding cost. Analyzing real-time data can also allowwear rates to be weighted toward a current operating situation (forexample, based on the material and bank being mined) rather than relyingheavily on historical data, which improves the accuracy, reliability,risk prevention, and optimize the decision-making method 900.

As illustrated in FIG. 9, the controller 310 uses the current dimension(length) of the GET to determine a wear rate for the GET (at block 904).In some embodiments, the controller 310 uses wear data stored in onemore databases (such as the database 320) to determine the wear rate.For example, as illustrated in FIG. 9, the controller 310 may accesswear data that includes historical dimensions, wear rates, or both forthe GET and the machine (and optionally other similar machines) as wellas wear data for particular operating situations, such as particularmaterials, banks, fragmentation, or the like, of the GET and the machine(and optionally other similar machines). For example, GET measurementsmay be recorded either manually or in an automated fashion may beentered into a database. Each recording may also be associated withmachine data, such as digs, duration of digging, payload, tooth traveldistance, energy consumed, and the link, which the controller can use todetermine wear rates. For example, the wear data may store previouslyrecorded dimensions for the GET, which the controller can compare to acurrently-determined dimension to calculate a wear rate for the GET.Alternatively or in addition, the controller 310 may access dataregarding historical wear rates of other GET or other machines or dataregarding wear rates for particular operating situations, which thecontroller 310 may use as the wear rate for the GET independently or incombination with an actual determined wear rate. For example, usinghistorical data and actual current wear profiles may allow for accuratereplacement predictions. It should be understood that, in someembodiments, the controller 310 determines a wear rate for each GET.However, in other embodiments, the controller 310 may be configured todetermine a combined or aggregated (for example, average) wear rate fora multiple components.

As illustrated in FIG. 9, the controller 310 uses the determined wearrate (at block 904) to determine a replacement cost for the GET (atblock 906), which is used to provide an output (at block 908) specifyingwhether a replacement is needed and, if so, when the replacement shouldbe performed. The output may be provided via the HMI 318, via thedatabase 320, or a combination thereof as described above. The outputmay be based on discard criteria, which may be entered by a user, suchas via the HMI 318. The discard criteria may include a length, a volume,another variable that defines when a wear component needs to bereplaced, or a combination thereof. In some embodiments, the discardcriteria are not correlated with performance of the machine (shovel100). Instead, the discard criteria may be defined by the minimum amounta wear component can be worn before there is an elevated risk of thecomponent detaching from the machine (an adaptor or other locking tool)or causing wear on the adapter that may prevent a new component fromreplacing the current component.

As part of determining the replacement cost, the controller 310 mayconsider a position change metric, a maintenance metric, and an unusedmaterial metric. The position change metric may determine an amount oftime needed to perform a replacement (for example, in terms of time),and the maintenance metric may take into consideration downtime costsassociated with having the machine shut down during a replacement, whichmay vary based on a schedule for the machine or the operatingenvironment (mine). The unused material metric may take intoconsideration a cost associated with discarding current GET as well animpact of the current or replacement GET on the operating costs of themachine.

For example, the position change metric may specify a service metricthat represents, based on the GET type, an amount of time required toreplace the GET (install a new or used component). This time may includea minimal time to take a piece of equipment down and an additional adderfor each component thereafter. In some embodiments, this time isspecified by the equation y=mx+b. The variable “m” in this equation isdetermined from time studies associated with replacing a wear componentonce the machine is set up for maintenance. This value may vary based onthe type of change-out being performed (manual v. automated), the designof the GET, or a combination thereof. For example, the time associatedwith this variable could be reduced through the use of automatedchange-out methods.

The variable “x” in this equation is the position change metric that isdetermined by the number of positions that require a change from theircurrent state (for example, a number of GET needing replacement). Forexample, when no change in position is required, the value of thisvariable may be set to “0.” However, when the GET includes a lip and allof the teeth 152 need to be replaced, the value of this variable may beset to “9.”

The variable “b” in this equation may also be determined from timestudies for mine-specific requirements associated with approaching anoperating piece of equipment, such as, for example, environmentalvariables, safety practices, lockout steps, and equipment type. Again,the value of this variable may vary based on the change-out type. Forexample, the value of this variable may be reduced through the use ofautomated change-out methods.

As illustrated in FIG. 9, the service metric, which may be in minutes, acost of downtime, and a mine schedule may be used to determine thereplacement cost (at block 906). The cost of downtime may be defined bythe amount of currency (dollars) operation of the machine generatesduring a given timeframe, such as per minute, per hour, per day, or thelike. Accordingly, the service metric (in minutes) may be multiplied bythe cost of downtime to determine at least a part of the replacementcost. The cost of downtime may vary and, therefore, may allow for aconstant and variable input. The variable input may be defined by anoperating or mine schedule. For example, the type of ore or materialbeing mined and how many trucks are available to be loaded may impactthe cost of downtime. In fact, in some situations, the cost of downtimedrops to zero given the correct correlation with a mine's schedule, suchas a preventative maintenance day. In contrast, when mining heavy orebodies, the cost of downtime may be so high that changing wearcomponents may be undesirable at any length greater than the discardcriteria.

As illustrated in FIG. 9, the other inputs that are used to determinethe replacement cost (at block 906) may include the cost of the GET andthe cost of machine energy or operation. The cost of the GET may bedetermined by the cost of an individual component's usable material.Usable material is defined as all material greater than the discardcriteria. Accordingly, the cost of the GET may represent a currencyamount (dollar amount) per metric or unit of unused material. When acomponent is removed and will not be replaced in a new position, theunused material is discarded and represents unused dollars of wear.

Machine (shovel) energy is determined by analyzing the energy consumedby the machine during operation, such as during a digging operation. Theamount of energy consumed during digging may vary depending on the wearlevel (length) of the wear components in addition to an arrangement ofthe wear components. The increase in energy consumed with shorter wearcomponents is thus a variable that impacts the replacement cost and,ultimately, decision making on whether and when a replacement should beperformed.

As illustrated in FIG. 9, in some embodiments, the controller 310determines the replacement cost (at block 906) for multiple physicalarrangements for GET. For example, when the GET includes a lip, one ormore teeth 152 included in a bucket 150 may be swapped or rearrangedwith existing teeth 152 on the bucket 150, may be replaced with newteeth 152, or a combination thereof. Thus, in this example, thecontroller 310 can be configured to determine a replacement cost forrearranging or swapping existing teeth 152, replacing one tooth 152,replacing two teeth 152, and so forth for multiple combinationsincluding replacing all of the existing teeth 152 with new teeth.Accordingly, the controller 310 may be configured to evaluate eacharrangement of the GET as described above to determine the mostefficient action to take.

As noted above, the replacement cost (at block 906) is used to generatean output (at block 908) that indicates whether a change-out of the GETis recommended. If a change-out is recommended, the change-out may beperformed manually or in an automated fashion. In some embodiments, theoutput from the controller 310 may specify or recommend a type ofchange-out or may provide statistics associated with type of change-outso that a user can weigh the costs associated with each type. Asillustrated in FIG. 9, the output may be used as feedback by thecontroller 310 to further improve predictions. For example, when a largenumber or all of the teeth 152 on a bucket have been replaced, theinspection frequency may be reduced for a particular time period.Alternatively or in addition, after a tooth 152 is replaced, theinspection frequency may be increased to detect other teeth 152 that mayneed replacement. Similarly, the controller 310 may be configured tomodify variables used when determine the replacement cost based onwhether replacements are being performed manually or in an automatedfashion.

FIG. 10 illustrates an alternative or supplemental method 1000 fordetermining whether to remove or swap GET, such as a tooth 152. Itshould be understood that the method 1000 may be used with the method900 as described above or as an alternative to the method 900. Forexample, in some embodiments, the method 1000 may be used to determinewhether to recommend a change-out (removal and replacement or swapping)of a component before replacement costs are determined as describedabove with respect to the method 900. Similarly, in some embodiments,the method 1000 may be used to detect components that, although do notcurrently satisfy the discard criteria, may satisfy the criteria on asubsequent inspection or maintenance cycle. Furthermore, in someembodiments, both method 900 and 1000 may be performed to determine tworecommendations and the recommendations may be compared to determine afinal recommendation for output.

Like the method 900, the method 1000 is described as being performed bythe controller 310 (through execution of instructions by the electronicprocessor 312). It should be understood, however, that portions of themethod 1000 may be performed by other components, including, forexample, the wear detection device 302, the database 320, one or moreservers (including servers provided in a cloud computing environment),or a combination thereof. Also, like the method 900, the method 1000 isdescribed herein in terms of detecting a wear level in terms of lengthof a tooth 152. However, has noted above, this is just one exampleapplication of the method 100 and the method 1000 may be applied toother types of GET where wear levels may be detected or defineddifferently. Also, the method 1000 illustrated in FIG. 10 includesfunctional steps as well as some data input steps describing data thatmay be used as part of a particular functional steps. Accordingly, ascompared to a traditional flowchart, the method 1000 is representedgraphically as a hybrid of functional steps and data inputs orconstraints, intermediary steps, and the like.

As illustrated in FIG. 10, the method 1000 includes obtaining ameasurement of a consumable (GET), such as a length L_(i) as describedabove with respect to FIG. 9 (at block 1002). The measurement L_(i) mayrepresent a measurement at a current time T. This measurement iscompared (at block 1004) to discard criteria (1003), which, as describedabove, may include a discard length L_(C). When the measurement L_(i) isless than the discard criteria L_(C), the consumable is discarded (atblock 1006). However, when the measurement L_(i) is not less than thediscard criteria L_(C) (for example, greater than the discard criteria),a virtual measurement is determined for the consumable at a future time(at block 1008). The future time may be based on standard maintenanceperiod T_(m) (1100). The standard maintenance period T_(m) may specify astandard or historical frequency at which maintenance events occurs. Forexample, historically a maintenance event may be performed everyforty-eight hours for a particular machine or type of machine or for aparticular GET or type of GET. Accordingly, the standard maintenanceperiod T_(m) may be used to determine a predicted measurement of theconsumable at the next maintenance event. In this regard, a consumablethat hasn't yet been worn to a discard level may be replaced during acurrent maintenance event for efficiency purposes, such as to completelyeliminate the need for a future maintenance event.

As illustrated in FIG. 10, the virtual measurement may also be based ona machine schedule utilization metric (1112), which may vary from 0% to100% usage. The machine schedule utilization metric may be used toadjust the standard maintenance period T_(m), such as by account forscheduled downtime or limited operation of the machine that could impactthe frequency of maintenance events. Alternatively or in addition, themachine schedule utilization metric 112 may be used to adjust anestimated wear rate of the consumable W_(i) (1114). As described abovewith respect to FIG. 9, a wear rate may be determined based onhistorical recordings (measurements) of the consumable and, optionally,other historical or standard data. Accordingly, the controller 310 maybe configured to estimate a wear rate W_(i) (as optionally adjusted bythe machine schedule utilization metric) and use this wear rate W_(i) toestimate an amount of virtual wear of the consumable ΔL_(i) (1116)occurring between the current time T and the next maintenance event(T+T_(m)). The controller 310 subtracts this amount of virtual wearΔL_(i) from the current measurement L_(i) to generate the virtualmeasurement (at block 1008). As described above, using automatedinspections provides an advantage in terms of frequency of measurementsand associated accuracy in wear rate predictions.

The controller 310 compares the virtual measurement (Li−ΔL_(i)) to thediscard criteria L_(C) (at block 1120). When the virtual measurement(Li×ΔL_(i)) is not less than the discard criteria L_(C), the consumableis maintained on the machine for continued use (at block 1124).Alternatively, when the virtual measurement (L_(i)−ΔL_(i)) is less thanthe discard criteria L_(C), the consumable is replaced (at block 1122).In some embodiments, if the consumable is removed (as compared to beingswapped or being discarded when replaced with a new component), theconsumable is also added to a used pool, which include consumables thatmay still be used on a machine in particular situations (since thelength of the consumable is not less than the discard criteria L_(C)).The length of the consumables in the used pool may be tracked and, inthis situation, the length of the consumable added to the used pool(U_(k)) may be set to the current measurement L_(i). In someembodiments, rather than adding the removed consumable to the used pool,the consumable may be swapped or rearranged with other consumables tominimize discarded material and optimize total cost of operations. Forexample, various thresholds and algorithms may be applied to determinehow to use a removed consumable based on, for example, consumable costs,maintenance overhead, and the like.

Thus, the methods and systems described herein automatically detectmachine wear, such as tooth wear, and use the detected wear toautomatically predict tooling or component replacement. The methods andsystems may predict the most effective replacement strategy and timingby monitoring real-time or near real-time wear levels and predicting afuture wear level based on machine usage and historical wear ratemetrics for the same machine or other similar machines. By analyzing thecost of down time combined with machine performance and wearrelationships, the methods and systems may predict and prescribereplacements that optimize productivity. For example, the methods andsystems may reduce machine downtime by defining the scope of replacement(labor, materials, urgency, and the like) accessible to users(maintenance crew) even before users arrive at a machine for inspection.The methods and systems remove subjective guessing, uncertainty, andcrew experience from the process. In addition, the methods and systemsoptimize component utilization while accounting for multiple minemanagement considerations. Furthermore, the methods and systems collectreplacement information in one or more databases accessible by one ormore user devices. Accordingly, users (such as machine operators) mayaccess replacement information even when the users are remote from themining environment. By looking into the future state of machinecomponents given wear and productivity data, the methods and systemsprovide new and unique technology for monitoring and managingreplacement of machine components. Again, it should be understood thatalthough embodiments are described herein in terms of detecting toothwear, the methods and systems may be used to detect wear of any type ofmachine component including other types of ground engaging tooling. Inaddition, although embodiments are described herein in terms of a miningor excavating shovel, the methods and systems may be used with othertypes of heavy machines experiencing wear.

Various features and advantages of the invention are set forth in thefollowing claims.

What is claimed is:
 1. A system for predicting replacement of acomponent of an industrial machine, the system comprising: an electronicprocessor configured to determine a wear rate of the component based ona current dimension of the component and historical dimensions of thecomponent, determine a replacement cost for the component, whereindetermining the replacement cost includes determining a cost of downtimefor replacing the component based on a time for replacing the componentand a downtime cost for the industrial machine during the time forreplacing the component, a material cost in replacing the component, andan operating cost of the industrial machine associated with notreplacing the component; determine a replacement recommendation for thecomponent based on the wear rate, the replacement cost, and discardcriteria; and output the replacement recommendation.
 2. The system ofclaim 1, further comprising a wear detection device configured to detectthe current dimension of the component.
 3. The system of claim 2,wherein the wear detection device includes a light detecting and rangingdevice.
 4. The system of claim 2, wherein the industrial machineincludes a mining shovel, wherein the component includes a toothincluded in bucket of the mining shovel, and wherein the wear detectiondevice is mounted on the mining shovel.
 5. The system of claim 2,wherein the industrial machine includes a mining shovel, wherein thecomponent includes a tooth included in bucket of the mining shovel, andwherein the wear detection device detects the wear level of the toothbased on a position of a dipper of the mining shovel.
 6. The system ofclaim 1, wherein the electronic processor is remote from the industrialmachine.
 7. The system of claim 1, wherein the current dimension of thecomponent includes a current length of the component and wherein thediscard criteria includes a predetermined length of the componentassociated with replacing the component.
 8. The system of claim 1,wherein the electronic processor is configured to determine the wearrate of the component based on the current dimension of the component,the historical dimensions of the component, and at least one selectedfrom a group consisting of wear data for the industrial machine and weardata for an operating environment of the industrial machine.
 9. Thesystem of claim 1, wherein the electronic processor is configured todetermine the cost of downtime by determining the downtime cost for theindustrial machine per unit of time based on an operating schedule ofthe industrial machine and multiplying the downtime cost by the time forreplacing the component.
 10. The system of claim 1, wherein theelectronic processor is configured to determine the material cost basedon an amount of usable material in the component as of the currentdimension of the component.
 11. The system of claim 1, wherein theelectronic processor is configured to determine the operating cost ofthe industrial machine associated with not replacing the component basedon an amount of energy consumed by the industrial machine associatedwith the current dimension of the component.
 12. The system of claim 1,wherein the electronic processor is further configured to determine thereplacement cost for each of a plurality of arrangements of thecomponent.
 13. The system of claim 1, wherein the replacementrecommendation includes a recommended type of change-out of thecomponent, the recommended type of change-out including at least oneselected from a group consisting of removing the component and replacingthe component with another component and swapping the component with aused component.
 14. A method for predicting replacement of a componentincluded in an industrial machine, the method comprising: receiving,with an electronic processor, data collected by a wear detection devicerepresenting a current dimension of the component; comparing, with theelectronic processor, the current dimension of the component to discardcriteria, the discard criteria including a discard dimension of thecomponent; in response to the current dimension of the component beingless than the discard dimension of the component, discarding thecomponent; and in response to the current dimension of the componentbeing greater than the discard dimension of the component, determining,with the electronic processor, a virtual measurement for the componentat a future time, comparing, with the electronic processor, the virtualmeasurement for the component to the discard dimension, and in responseto the virtual measurement for the component being less than the discarddimension, adding, with the electronic processor, the component to usedpool of components.
 15. The method of claim 14, wherein determining thevirtual measurement for the component includes determining the virtualmeasurement based on a wear rate of the component and a scheduledutilization of the industrial machine.
 16. The method of claim 14,wherein determining the virtual measurement for the component at thefuture time includes determining the virtual measurement for thecomponent at a next maintenance event.
 17. The method of claim 14,further comprising, in response to the virtual measurement for thecomponent being greater than the discard dimension, maintaining thecomponent in use on the industrial machine.
 18. The method of claim 14,further comprising, in response to the virtual measurement for thecomponent being less than the discard dimension, changing-out thecomponent, wherein changing-out the component includes at least one ofreplacing the component with another component and swapping thecomponent with a used component.
 19. Non-transitory, computer-readablemedium storing instructions that, when executed by an electronicprocessor, perform a set of functions, the set of functions comprising:determining a replacement cost for a component of an industrial machinefor each of a plurality of arrangements, wherein determining thereplacement cost includes determining a cost of downtime for replacingthe component based on a time for replacing the component and a downtimecost for the industrial machine during the time for replacing thecomponent, a material cost in replacing the component, and an operatingcost of the industrial machine associated with not replacing thecomponent; determining a replacement recommendation for the componentbased on the replacement cost associated with each of the plurality ofarrangements; and outputting the replacement recommendation.
 20. Thenon-transitory, computer-readable medium of claim 19, wherein the set offunctions further comprising determining a wear rate of the componentbased on a current dimension of the component and historical dimensionsof the component and wherein determining the replacement recommendationfor each of the plurality of arrangements includes determining thereplacement recommendation for each of the plurality of arrangementsbased on the replacement cost, the wear rate, and discard criteria.